Multi-scenario Prediction Simulation Analysis of Land Use in Weinan City based on the PLUS Model

Authors

  • Yiman Guo

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54691/sp3j8h62

Keywords:

PLUS Model; Land Use Change; Multi-scenario Simulation; Weinan City.

Abstract

Based on the Patch-generating Land use Simulation Model (PLUS), this paper comprehensively considers natural factors and socio-economic factors and selects seven driving factors. The spatio-temporal variation pattern and driving forces of land use in Weinan City from 2000 to 2020 were analyzed. Four scenarios, namely natural evolution, ecological protection, economic development and cultivated land protection, were set up to conduct a simulation analysis of land use in Weinan City in 2040.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Hu Jixi, Le Xianwen, Xu Yong The Impact of Multi-Scenario Land Use Change on Carbon Storage of Terrestrial Ecosystems Based on FLUS Model: A Case Study of Pingxiang, Jiangxi Province [J]. Soil and water conservation research, 2024, 31 (02) : 299-309. The DOI: 10.13869 / j.carol carroll nki RSWC. 2024.02.032.

[2] Li Fupeng, Han Hui, Yang Shuwen. Analysis of Land Use Change in Gansu Province from 2000 to 2020 and Multi-Scenario Simulation of Ecological Space Based on PLUS [J] Science Technology and Engineering, 2023, 23 (15): 6316-6326.

[3] Xie Xiangdong, Lin Xiaosong, Wang Ying, et al. Multi-scenario Simulation of Land Use in Nanchuan District, Chongqing City Based on PLUS Model [J]. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute, 2023, 40 (06): 86-92+113.

[4] Fan Wenjie, Dai Xiaoai, Xie Yiru, et al. Prediction and Analysis of Land Use Change in Sichuan Province in the Next 10 Years Using the CLUE-S Model [J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2022, 22 (07): 2641-2647.

[5] Cui Wanglai, CAI Li, Xi Henghui, et al. Ecological Security Evaluation and Multi-Scenario Simulation Analysis of Zhejiang Greater Bay Area Based on Land Use/Cover Change [J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2022, 42 (06): 2136-2148.

[6] Wang Xiaolun, Liu Yan, Zhang Yu, et al Research and Prediction of Land Use/Cover Change in Western Jilin Province Based on CA-Markov Model [J] Science Technology and Engineering, 2021, 21 (19): 7942-7948.

[7] Sun Qinke, Zhou Liang, Tang Xianglong, et al. The Impact and Prediction of Oasis Urban Expansion in Arid Areas on Cultivated Land Space: A Case Study of the Hexi Corridor Region [J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2021, 36 (04): 1008-1020.

[8] Zhang Xiaorong, Li Ainong, Nancy, et al. Multi-scenario Simulation of Land Use Change in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor Based on the Coupling of FLUS Model and SD Model [J] Journal of Earth Information Science, 2020, 22 (12): 2393-2409.

[9] Wang Tian, Yan Jinfeng, Qiao Haiyan. Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, the city land use change characteristic analysis and prediction [J]. Journal of soil and water conservation bulletin, 2020, 40 (5) : 268-275 + 341. DOI: 10.13961 / j.carol carroll nki STBCTB. 2020.05.039.

[10] Yan Yanghan, Guo Zijian, Wang Wenyuan, et al. Research on the Changes and Prediction of Port City Landscape Pattern Based on ANN-CA Model: A Case Study of the West Coast Area of Jiaozhou Bay [J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze River Basin, 2020, 29 (07): 1507-1514.

[11] Qi Lulu, Li Xiuxia, Li Hui. Research on Prediction of Urban Construction Land Scale Based on Constrained SD Model: A Case Study of Siping City, Jilin Province [J]. China Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2020, 41 (01): 234-241.

[12] Song Shixiong, Liang Xiaoying, Chen Hai, et al. Simulation Research on Abandoned Farmland Based on Multi-Agent and Land Conversion Model: A Case Study of Mizhi County, Shaanxi Province [J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2018, 33 (03): 515-525.

[13] Liu Aijun, Wang Baolin, Chen Ximei, et al. Research on the Dynamic Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Grassland Degradation Based on Markov Model [J]. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2012, 21 (05): 229-236.

Downloads

Published

24-09-2025

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Guo, Y. (2025). Multi-scenario Prediction Simulation Analysis of Land Use in Weinan City based on the PLUS Model. Frontiers in Sustainable Development, 5(9), 44-52. https://doi.org/10.54691/sp3j8h62